The Catalan Referendum Law and Some Background to the Catalan Independence Movement
After an extremely long session yesterday, the Catalam Parliament eventually passed the Referendum Law, which in theory will allow Catalonia to hold a referendum on independence from Spain on October 1st. I say “in theory” because today the Spanish Government will almost certainly call on the Spanish Constitutional Court to declare the law unconstitutional as they have done to all of Catalonia’s attempts to hold a referendum over the last five years. At this point in time, it’s very difficult to predict what will happen between now and October 1st because the Spanish Government will use Spanish Law to block the referendum whilst the Catalan Government will use Catalan Law to justify pressing ahead with it. Both sides are not only completely convinced that there actions are both legal and democratic but are also politically committed to not backing down. I personally see no solution to the problem and the situation could well turn violent unless there is some international arbitration. Whatever happens I don’t believe that October 1st will see the end of Catalonia’s push for independence.
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